"Le fleuve des saisies continue, et ne donne pas de signes de ralentissements" a noté CNBC il y a 2 jours. "Toutes les 13 secondes, une maison est saisie aux US, et 6,600 dossiers déposés par jour selon le Center for Responsible Lending".
Ils appellent ça une reprise... D'autres appellent ça une explosion...
Et l'article note que le rythme va s'aggraver.
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The Flood of Foreclosures Shows No Sign of Ebbing
Every 13 seconds in America, there is another foreclosure filing. That's the rhythm of a crisis that threatens to choke off hopes for a recovery in the U.S. housing market as it destroys hundreds of billions of dollars in property values a year.
There are more than 6,600 home foreclosure filings per day, according to the Center for Responsible Lending, a nonpartisan watchdog group based in Durham, North Carolina. With nearly two million already this year, the flood of foreclosures shows no sign of abating any time soon.
If anything, the country's worst housing downturn since record-keeping began in the late 19th century may only get worse since foreclosures, which started with subprime borrowers, have now moved on to the much bigger prime loan market on the back of mounting unemployment.
In congressional testimony last month Michael Barr, the Treasury Department's assistant secretary for financial institutions, said more than 6 million families could face foreclosure over the next three years.
"The recent crisis in the housing sector has devastated families and communities across the country and is at the center of our financial crisis and economic downturn," Barr said.
A September report by a foreclosure task force appointed by Florida's Supreme Court pointed to a shift in the root cause of foreclosures: "People are no longer defaulting simply because of a change in the payment structure of their loan.
They are defaulting because of lost jobs or reduced hours or pay." Florida had the nation's highest rate of homes — 23 percent — that were either in foreclosure or delinquent on mortgage payments in the second quarter, and the report said "the latest news for Florida is horrifying."
A recent pickup in sales and home prices in some regions has been heralded as a sign that the crisis in residential real estate may be close to bottoming out, after the steepest price decline since at least 1890.
But nearly half of recent sales have been attributed to foreclosures or "short sales" at bargain-basement prices.Even as the U.S. economy seems to be recovering from its worst recession since the Great Depression, mortgage delinquencies continue to rise.
And that adds risk to any relatively upbeat assessment, since foreclosures depress the value of nearby properties while eroding the net worth of homeowners and the tax base for communities nationwide.
The Center for Responsible Lending says foreclosures are on track to wipe out $502 billion in property values this year.
That spillover effect from foreclosures is one reason why Celia Chen of Moody's Economy.com says nationwide home prices won't regain the peak levels they reached in 2006 until 2020.
In states hardest-hit by the housing bust, like Florida and California, the rebound will take until 2030, Chen predicted.
"The default rates, the delinquency rates, are still rising," Chen told Reuters. "Rising joblessness combined with a large degree of negative equity are going to cause foreclosures to increase," she added.
Anyone doubting that the recovery in U.S. real estate prices will be long and hard should take a look at Japan, Chen said.
La suite...
Ils appellent ça une reprise... D'autres appellent ça une explosion...
Et l'article note que le rythme va s'aggraver.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Flood of Foreclosures Shows No Sign of Ebbing
Every 13 seconds in America, there is another foreclosure filing. That's the rhythm of a crisis that threatens to choke off hopes for a recovery in the U.S. housing market as it destroys hundreds of billions of dollars in property values a year.
There are more than 6,600 home foreclosure filings per day, according to the Center for Responsible Lending, a nonpartisan watchdog group based in Durham, North Carolina. With nearly two million already this year, the flood of foreclosures shows no sign of abating any time soon.
If anything, the country's worst housing downturn since record-keeping began in the late 19th century may only get worse since foreclosures, which started with subprime borrowers, have now moved on to the much bigger prime loan market on the back of mounting unemployment.
In congressional testimony last month Michael Barr, the Treasury Department's assistant secretary for financial institutions, said more than 6 million families could face foreclosure over the next three years.
"The recent crisis in the housing sector has devastated families and communities across the country and is at the center of our financial crisis and economic downturn," Barr said.
A September report by a foreclosure task force appointed by Florida's Supreme Court pointed to a shift in the root cause of foreclosures: "People are no longer defaulting simply because of a change in the payment structure of their loan.
They are defaulting because of lost jobs or reduced hours or pay." Florida had the nation's highest rate of homes — 23 percent — that were either in foreclosure or delinquent on mortgage payments in the second quarter, and the report said "the latest news for Florida is horrifying."
A recent pickup in sales and home prices in some regions has been heralded as a sign that the crisis in residential real estate may be close to bottoming out, after the steepest price decline since at least 1890.
But nearly half of recent sales have been attributed to foreclosures or "short sales" at bargain-basement prices.Even as the U.S. economy seems to be recovering from its worst recession since the Great Depression, mortgage delinquencies continue to rise.
And that adds risk to any relatively upbeat assessment, since foreclosures depress the value of nearby properties while eroding the net worth of homeowners and the tax base for communities nationwide.
The Center for Responsible Lending says foreclosures are on track to wipe out $502 billion in property values this year.
That spillover effect from foreclosures is one reason why Celia Chen of Moody's Economy.com says nationwide home prices won't regain the peak levels they reached in 2006 until 2020.
In states hardest-hit by the housing bust, like Florida and California, the rebound will take until 2030, Chen predicted.
"The default rates, the delinquency rates, are still rising," Chen told Reuters. "Rising joblessness combined with a large degree of negative equity are going to cause foreclosures to increase," she added.
Anyone doubting that the recovery in U.S. real estate prices will be long and hard should take a look at Japan, Chen said.
La suite...
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