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Morocco's capitalism: A gravy train for the few

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  • Morocco's capitalism: A gravy train for the few

    New York* / Morocco Board News*** When the political parties in Morocco devise policies, they do sketch some feeble argument, it is so diluted that if it ever was put into practice, they wouldn’t know where to start first. On the other hand, policy-makers in Morocco lead the charge with formidable support from McKinsey-style consultancy firms. The trouble is, a country like Morocco cannot be run like a corporation. And even if it is so in the minds of the young fellows running the show, the corporation is certainly not run in the best interest of its shareholders, but for the board’s benefit.

    *Policy and social engineering are worked out under the assumption that the objective is to maximize the country’s welfare. There remains a great deal of blur in defining what one might mean by that word: “welfare“. In fiscal matters, it may come to the idea of taxing individuals and companies more than others, while in social policy, it also means helping some social classes more than others. There’s also a great deal of ideology in policy-making, even among the high-brow circles of consultants: under the veneer of technocracy, there’s a political motivation behind strategic thinking like the ‘Plan Maroc Vert‘, ‘Halieutis‘*and the*INDH*or indeed anything of the sort like the high-speed TGV*network.

    Perhaps I am over-rating the Palace Cabinet ’s task force. A question that I often asked myself: how are decisions taken up there? Whether on economic policy, or on-the-spot crisis decisions* like the*Aminatou Haidar*case, or the* protest camps in*Agdim Izik, how are decisions taken? Do they meet in a war-room, delineating scenarii, then discussing the likelihood of each one until they reach the best decision?* So it must be that the Royal Cabinet has some kind of modus operandi, I assume to be ultra-rational (given the high proportion of* engineering graduates from the French Grandes-Ecoles). And yet, my impression is that there is little competency at work. Allow me to expatiate; and*ad absurdo*reasoning would be best. Let’s consider the ONA-SNI case: if the firm is really set on pulling the country out of poverty and into prosperity, how come its dividend policy never shows it?

    There is, among other things, a consensus that the private business of the king can pull the economy upward. The idea is that we need the Moroccan equivalent of*Chaebol, the Korean conglomerate of Banks and Industries that played significant part in making South Korea what it is today: a first-class country that is now considered to be member of the G20 club, when, 50 years ago, its GDP per capita was lower than Morocco’s,*and the best thing they could have ever manufactured at the time was T-shirts. The idea was therefore to imitate, as it were, the Korean experience with companies like*SNI-ONA, or indeed*Attijari Wafabank*and other economic "national champions". The economic model sounds good: at the price of domestic monopoly, Morocco fields a first-class holding able to operate on global markets with the required size to win us some surplus that would be redistributed. In other words, the private monopoly captures the common surplus in order to expand, and then redistribute it through pay rise or investment in intangible assets. This is the semi-official line.

  • #2
    Unfortunately, the financial statements tell otherwise.
    Now, doesn’t it strike you as odd that the fleuron*of our largest firms should invest so little and distribute these high levels of dividends to the shareholders? Between 2004 and 2010 - prior to the smoke screen withdrawal of ONA SNI shares from the Casablanca Bourse-*the holding*distributed an average of about 3/4 of its benefits (which reached the billion of Dirhams at least); while the rare investments they undertook where mainly about mergers and real estate speculation.*
    The Chaebols, on the other hand, they had a gargantuan appetite for asset acquisition (which also meant that they favored a rigorous dividend discipline, translated into high levels of savings – something that did not prevent them from using audacious financial structuring) and are, at the end of the day, radically different from our own sketchy, greedy, money-grabbing conglomerate.

    A central question that begs to be answered is: ‘who benefits from what?’.*Plan Maroc Vert*is a case in point: the official line states that small farmers would benefit from cutting-edge policies like ‘aggregation’. For those who are not familiar with the plan, it has two main implementation strategies: the first one is export-oriented, very monopolistic that favors already existing large domains, industrial-like farms ( like the*Royal Domains) the other one, which looks like it was hurriedly put together, is designed to help ‘directly’ the small farmers. Cooperatives, micro-credit, etc… to keep their heads above the water. How could*Plan Maroc vert be helpful when*funding*is*so*biased towards large, wealthy farmers? It’s always beneficial to* put things in prospective: MAD 80 billion is made available for 961 projects with only 562.000 farmers Vs. 545 projects for 855.000 farmers (Those that should be helped and supported) get no more than MAD 20 billion).* In other terms, 39% of the farmers (most of whom are quite wealthy) get 80% of the funding.

    In economic terms, the policies are not, to say the least, caring about the majority. Unless they take the view that the common welfare is that of a privileged minority, the 10% of the population that receives 40% of the total national income, the sort of passengers able to pay for the*TGV*between*Tangiers*and*Casablanca. Perhaps the idea is that already rich people would get richer and richer, till they reach a point of satiety such that they would spend money, to the benefit of the less-off. If that’s the view, this kind of rapacious capitalism is bound to engender serious resentment from the excluded.

    Events in Tunisia have* proven that excessive concentration of wealth, power and legitimacy is, on the long run, is a disaster waiting to happen.

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